Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McBain wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Trocheck 55.6% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 94.4%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 62.8%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 79.1%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 73.4%
26.6%
73.4%
McBain
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
McBain
Trocheck
Last 9: McBain 6-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
McBain
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
5
0
McBain
Trocheck
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
55.0% (956)
-9.7%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
59.8% (266)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
56.3% (64)
-18.7%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. McBain is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
McBain shoots left. Trocheck is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
McBain
Trocheck
Home
45.5% (437)
57.7% (673)
Away
42.4% (403)
54.3% (613)
By Period
McBain
Trocheck
P1
43.5%
55.4%
P2
44.0%
55.6%
P3
45.0%
56.4%
OT
33.3%
83.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 09:03 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 02:59 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 16:31 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 10:06 | Defensive | Jack McBain |