Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). McBain wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 45.9% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
McBain
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
McBain
Trocheck
Last 9: McBain 5-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
3
McBain
Trocheck
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
0
McBain
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (568)
57.6% (1,061)
-11.3%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
65.1% (338)
-27.6%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (74)
49.5% (101)
-11.7%
On power play, Trocheck has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. McBain is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (209).
McBain shoots left. Trocheck is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,118).
Home / Away
McBain
Trocheck
Home
50.6% (330)
61.8% (735)
Away
39.7% (320)
55.8% (765)
By Period
McBain
Trocheck
P1
45.4%
57.7%
P2
44.5%
57.9%
P3
45.7%
60.4%
Final 5 min
48.0%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
52.0%▲
49.5%
45.2%
Trocheck
60.0%▼
62.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 17:35 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 16:36 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |