Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-6.5%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 50.5%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 50.8%
Neutral zone
McBain 61.9%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
McBain
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
58.5% (135)
-6.4%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
80.0% (5)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
44.4% (18)
-7.4%
On power play, Karlsson has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
McBain shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
McBain
Karlsson
Home
52.2% (289)
63.7% (91)
Away
50.0% (316)
49.3% (67)
By Period
McBain
Karlsson
P1
52.6%
54.4%
P2
53.6%
66.7%
P3
47.1%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%