Jack McBain vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 57.0%
Defensive zone
McBain 57.5%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 51.1%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
McBain
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
McBain
Karlsson
Last 8: McBain 4-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
4
McBain
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
3
0
McBain
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (2,298)
51.8% (7,849)
-3.8%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
54.8% (1,048)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (308)
44.2% (1,109)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. McBain is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,667).
McBain shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
McBain
Karlsson
Home
49.0% (1,359)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
44.0% (1,298)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
McBain
Karlsson
P1
46.7%
50.3%
P2
47.5%
51.3%
P3
45.6%
52.4%
OT
37.5%
44.9%
Final 5 min
48.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 14:46 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 03:32 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 18:15 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:20 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | William Karlsson |