Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roslovic wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 51.7% vs Staal 54.6% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 69.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 63.2%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 52.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Roslovic
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Roslovic
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Roslovic
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (204)
56.1% (955)
-3.6%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
66.9% (142)
-14.0%
On power play, Staal has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Roslovic is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (170).
Roslovic shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Staal
Home
49.6% (119)
55.4% (663)
Away
55.9% (102)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Roslovic
Staal
P1
53.2%
55.1%
P2
53.2%
54.7%
P3
51.9%
53.9%
OT
33.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
52.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 17:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |