Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.5% vs Staal 55.3% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 82.3%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 55.5%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 75.4%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Roslovic
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Roslovic
Staal
Last 10: Roslovic 2-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Roslovic
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
5
Roslovic
Staal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Roslovic
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (729)
56.3% (1,115)
-10.5%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
61.2% (67)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (55)
52.1% (292)
-13.9%
On power play, Staal has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Roslovic is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Roslovic shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Staal
Home
45.4% (447)
58.3% (705)
Away
44.6% (442)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Roslovic
Staal
P1
43.2%
54.5%
P2
44.7%
58.2%
P3
47.2%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
43.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
45.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 10:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 08:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 7, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:46 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |