Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Roslovic wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 44.2% vs Staal 56.8% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 87.8%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 67.0%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 85.5%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
Roslovic
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Roslovic
Staal
Last 10: Roslovic 1-9 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Roslovic
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
5
Roslovic
Staal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Roslovic
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (739)
58.9% (1,041)
-16.0%
Power Play
54.8% (84)
53.4% (73)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
28.1% (32)
49.1% (171)
-21.0%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Roslovic is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Roslovic shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Staal
Home
41.6% (442)
59.0% (578)
Away
45.5% (413)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Roslovic
Staal
P1
44.9%
57.1%
P2
43.8%
60.9%
P3
41.8%
55.8%
OT
0.0%
20.8%
Final 5 min
45.5%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
43.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 04:27 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 08:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 00:09 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |