Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roslovic wins 39.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 40.7% vs Duchene 52.9% (-14.7%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 75.7%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 82.4%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 72.8%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Roslovic
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Roslovic
Duchene
Last 10: Roslovic 4-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Roslovic
Duchene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
4
Roslovic
Duchene
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
3
Roslovic
Duchene
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (542)
55.6% (248)
-17.0%
Power Play
44.2% (43)
45.3% (53)
-1.1%
On even strength, Duchene has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Roslovic is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (443).
Roslovic shoots right. Duchene is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Duchene
Home
39.6% (293)
54.7% (150)
Away
38.7% (300)
53.0% (151)
By Period
Roslovic
Duchene
P1
40.0%
51.1%
P2
34.7%
57.8%
P3
42.2%
52.4%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
34.3%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
39.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2021 | 3 | 11:52 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:08 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 05:28 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 10:00 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 04:42 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |