Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 52.0%). Roslovic wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 51.7% vs Duchene 51.6% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 50.2%
Defensive zone
Duchene 55.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 51.9%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Roslovic
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Roslovic
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Roslovic
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (204)
51.2% (324)
+1.3%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
60.4% (53)
-7.5%
On power play, Duchene has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Roslovic is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (170).
Roslovic shoots right. Duchene is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Duchene
Home
49.6% (119)
51.6% (182)
Away
55.9% (102)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Roslovic
Duchene
P1
53.2%
49.6%
P2
53.2%
56.2%
P3
51.9%
48.6%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
52.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |