Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Roslovic wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.5% vs Duchene 52.1% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 58.7%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 75.6%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 54.3%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Roslovic
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Roslovic
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Roslovic
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (729)
53.9% (193)
-8.1%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
49.2% (65)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (55)
100.0% (1)
-61.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +61.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Roslovic is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Roslovic shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Duchene
Home
45.4% (447)
54.9% (113)
Away
44.6% (442)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Roslovic
Duchene
P1
43.2%
54.9%
P2
44.7%
52.7%
P3
47.2%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.0%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
45.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |