Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Roslovic wins 38.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 40.7% vs Johansen 51.4% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 69.1%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 73.8%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 72.9%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Roslovic
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Roslovic
Johansen
Last 10: Roslovic 3-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
3
2
Roslovic
Johansen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Roslovic
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Roslovic
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (542)
51.5% (615)
-12.9%
Power Play
44.2% (43)
54.3% (140)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
46.3% (67)
+3.7%
On even strength, Johansen has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Roslovic is 38.0% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Roslovic shoots right. Johansen is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Johansen
Home
39.6% (293)
52.4% (389)
Away
38.7% (300)
50.8% (433)
By Period
Roslovic
Johansen
P1
40.0%
53.4%
P2
34.7%
49.1%
P3
42.2%
51.5%
OT
44.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
34.3%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
39.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| May 3, 2021 | OT | 02:38 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| May 3, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 06:02 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 08:09 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |