Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Roslovic wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Johansen 53.3% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 17-12 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 70.9%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 78.4%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 80.0%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Roslovic
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
17
(29 meetings)
12
17
Roslovic
Johansen
Last 10: Roslovic 5-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
8
4
Roslovic
Johansen
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
7
Roslovic
Johansen
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
6
Roslovic
Johansen
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (2,997)
53.1% (11,017)
-8.2%
Power Play
48.1% (339)
56.2% (2,163)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
50.5% (978)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Roslovic is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,065).
Roslovic shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Johansen
Home
44.0% (1,737)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
45.8% (1,704)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Roslovic
Johansen
P1
45.5%
53.2%
P2
44.6%
53.9%
P3
44.9%
52.8%
OT
31.8%
58.2%
Final 5 min
44.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
44.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 13:30 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:50 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:31 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:26 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| May 3, 2021 | OT | 02:38 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| May 3, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |