Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roslovic wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.5% vs Johansen 58.2% (-14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 70.5%
Defensive zone
Johansen 65.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 73.1%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Roslovic
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Roslovic
Johansen
Last 9: Roslovic 5-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
3
0
Roslovic
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
3
Roslovic
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Roslovic
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (729)
59.8% (625)
-14.0%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
58.2% (196)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (55)
51.9% (27)
-13.7%
On power play, Johansen has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Roslovic is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Roslovic shoots right. Johansen is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Johansen
Home
45.4% (447)
60.3% (436)
Away
44.6% (442)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Roslovic
Johansen
P1
43.2%
61.3%
P2
44.7%
60.4%
P3
47.2%
56.0%
OT
50.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
43.0%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
45.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 13:30 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:50 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:31 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:26 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |