Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roslovic wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 44.2% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 77.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 64.1%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 62.1%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Roslovic
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Roslovic
O'Reilly
Last 6: Roslovic 2-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roslovic
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Roslovic
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (739)
56.6% (1,064)
-13.7%
Power Play
54.8% (84)
60.4% (260)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
28.1% (32)
54.0% (261)
-25.9%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Roslovic is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Roslovic shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Roslovic
O'Reilly
Home
41.6% (442)
54.9% (801)
Away
45.5% (413)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Roslovic
O'Reilly
P1
44.9%
58.0%
P2
43.8%
56.7%
P3
41.8%
55.4%
OT
0.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
43.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 04:24 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 13:47 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |