Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 53.2% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 70.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 69.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 78.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Roslovic
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Roslovic
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
3
0
Roslovic
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (299)
56.2% (983)
-1.0%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
55.5% (254)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
52.0% (102)
-52.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +52.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Roslovic is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (261).
Roslovic shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Roslovic
O'Reilly
Home
54.0% (200)
56.2% (697)
Away
54.2% (155)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Roslovic
O'Reilly
P1
57.0%
54.5%
P2
54.3%
55.5%
P3
50.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.6%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
54.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |