Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Roslovic wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 44.2% vs Steel 49.4% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 62.5%
Defensive zone
Steel 73.9%
Neutral zone
Steel 68.7%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Roslovic
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Roslovic
Steel
Last 5: Roslovic 3-2 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
3
1
Roslovic
Steel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Roslovic
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (739)
49.3% (383)
-6.4%
Power Play
54.8% (84)
59.1% (22)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
28.1% (32)
14.3% (7)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Roslovic has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Roslovic is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Roslovic shoots right. Steel is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Steel
Home
41.6% (442)
49.4% (180)
Away
45.5% (413)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Roslovic
Steel
P1
44.9%
51.9%
P2
43.8%
43.8%
P3
41.8%
52.6%
Final 5 min
45.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
43.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Sam Steel |