Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Steel 50.2% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 50.3%
Defensive zone
Steel 82.3%
Neutral zone
Steel 79.9%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Roslovic
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Roslovic
Steel
Last 7: Roslovic 5-2 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
5
1
Roslovic
Steel
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Roslovic
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (2,997)
50.6% (2,876)
-5.7%
Power Play
48.1% (339)
62.6% (179)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
37.4% (254)
-3.1%
On power play, Steel has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Roslovic is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,376).
Roslovic shoots right. Steel is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,237).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Steel
Home
44.0% (1,737)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
45.8% (1,704)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Roslovic
Steel
P1
45.5%
51.9%
P2
44.6%
49.5%
P3
44.9%
49.6%
OT
31.8%
41.9%
Final 5 min
44.4%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
44.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Sam Steel |