Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Roslovic wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 44.2% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 79.7%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 77.1%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 76.1%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Roslovic
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Roslovic
Stamkos
Last 7: Roslovic 1-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Roslovic
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
4
Roslovic
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (739)
49.3% (789)
-6.4%
Power Play
54.8% (84)
56.9% (181)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
28.1% (32)
54.1% (98)
-26.0%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Roslovic is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Roslovic shoots right. Stamkos is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Stamkos
Home
41.6% (442)
52.0% (512)
Away
45.5% (413)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Roslovic
Stamkos
P1
44.9%
42.1%
P2
43.8%
56.4%
P3
41.8%
53.7%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
45.5%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
43.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 14:50 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 01:46 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |