Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 51.7% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 52.6%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 51.0%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 56.6%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Roslovic
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Roslovic
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roslovic
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (204)
56.1% (342)
-3.6%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
53.3% (92)
-0.4%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Roslovic is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (51).
Roslovic shoots right. Stamkos is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Stamkos
Home
49.6% (119)
53.4% (208)
Away
55.9% (102)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Roslovic
Stamkos
P1
53.2%
55.6%
P2
53.2%
52.8%
P3
51.9%
59.1%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
49.1%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
52.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 16:09 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |