Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Roslovic wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 51.7% vs Hertl 57.2% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 64.4%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 71.6%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 65.0%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Roslovic
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Roslovic
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Roslovic
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Roslovic
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (204)
58.1% (823)
-5.6%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
56.2% (265)
-3.3%
On even strength, Hertl has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Roslovic is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (170).
Roslovic shoots right. Hertl is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Hertl
Home
49.6% (119)
59.7% (561)
Away
55.9% (102)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Roslovic
Hertl
P1
53.2%
51.6%
P2
53.2%
63.8%
P3
51.9%
58.6%
OT
33.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
49.1%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
52.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |