Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Hertl 54.2% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 15-6 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 84.8%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 93.1%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 92.8%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 90.2%
90.2%
9.8%
Roslovic
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
15
(21 meetings)
6
15
Roslovic
Hertl
Last 10: Roslovic 2-8 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
4
3
Roslovic
Hertl
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
4
Roslovic
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
8
Roslovic
Hertl
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (2,997)
53.8% (8,268)
-8.9%
Power Play
48.1% (339)
59.3% (1,975)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
46.3% (806)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Roslovic is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,376).
Roslovic shoots right. Hertl is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,133).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Hertl
Home
44.0% (1,737)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
45.8% (1,704)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Roslovic
Hertl
P1
45.5%
53.6%
P2
44.6%
54.1%
P3
44.9%
55.3%
OT
31.8%
46.5%
Final 5 min
44.4%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
44.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:14 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 08:29 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 12:38 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:30 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 16:27 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 09:41 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 09:55 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:49 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 13:02 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |