Scouting Report
Jack Roslovic holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 53.2% vs Gourde 49.7% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 84.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 56.8%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 50.9%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Roslovic
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Roslovic
Gourde
Last 5: Roslovic 4-1 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
0
Roslovic
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Roslovic
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
0
Roslovic
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (299)
51.2% (469)
+4.0%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
42.9% (21)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
37.5% (48)
-37.5%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Roslovic is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (261).
Roslovic shoots right. Gourde is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Gourde
Home
54.0% (200)
47.8% (301)
Away
54.2% (155)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Roslovic
Gourde
P1
57.0%
47.3%
P2
54.3%
53.4%
P3
50.9%
48.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
54.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 12:52 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |