Scouting Report
Jack Roslovic holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Roslovic wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 51.7% vs Gourde 46.0% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 75.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 76.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 60.8%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Roslovic
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Roslovic
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
0
Roslovic
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Roslovic
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (204)
47.2% (654)
+5.3%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
45.0% (20)
+7.9%
On power play, Roslovic has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Roslovic is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (170).
Roslovic shoots right. Gourde is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Gourde
Home
49.6% (119)
44.1% (322)
Away
55.9% (102)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Roslovic
Gourde
P1
53.2%
42.4%
P2
53.2%
49.8%
P3
51.9%
44.3%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
52.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |