Jaden Schwartz vs Mikael Backlund
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jaden Schwartz holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Schwartz wins 63.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 54.4% vs Backlund 50.3% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 89.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 85.5%
Neutral zone
Schwartz 55.8%
Result
Jaden Schwartz favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Schwartz
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Schwartz
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwartz
2
0
Schwartz
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Schwartz
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (59)
51.0% (1,205)
-5.2%
Power Play
64.4% (101)
59.3% (108)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
42.3% (234)
-42.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +42.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Schwartz is 63.0% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Schwartz shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Backlund
Home
61.0% (82)
51.2% (782)
Away
53.2% (79)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Schwartz
Backlund
P1
58.6%
51.5%
P2
46.8%
49.8%
P3
64.2%
49.9%
OT
66.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
64.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
57.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 04:24 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 02:59 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 00:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |