Jaden Schwartz vs Mikael Backlund

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jaden Schwartz holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Schwartz wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Schwartz 52.9% vs Backlund 49.7% (+8.8%)
Offensive zone Schwartz 83.6%
Defensive zone Backlund 85.3%
Neutral zone Backlund 55.8%
Result Mikael Backlund favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Schwartz Backlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Schwartz
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (38)
50.1% (891)
+10.4%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
53.1% (64)
+0.2%
On even strength, Schwartz has a +10.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Schwartz is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (31).
Schwartz shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Backlund
Home
71.4% (21)
48.1% (580)
Away
50.0% (32)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Schwartz
Backlund
P1
60.9%
45.1%
P2
69.2%
54.7%
P3
47.1%
49.0%
Final 5 min
76.9%
47.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%
53.5%
58.5%
Backlund
52.0%
48.0%
49.7%