Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Schwartz wins 35.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 48.8% vs Johansen 54.3% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 72.3%
Defensive zone
Schwartz 62.5%
Neutral zone
Schwartz 63.9%
Result
Jaden Schwartz favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Schwartz
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Schwartz
Johansen
Last 7: Schwartz 1-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwartz
1
0
Schwartz
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Schwartz
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
5
Schwartz
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (101)
54.0% (1,251)
-4.5%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
58.9% (158)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
55.6% (63)
-5.6%
On power play, Johansen has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Schwartz is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Schwartz shoots left. Johansen is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Johansen
Home
51.4% (72)
56.3% (746)
Away
44.1% (68)
52.8% (726)
By Period
Schwartz
Johansen
P1
48.6%
54.0%
P2
47.7%
53.8%
P3
47.3%
55.7%
OT
50.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
54.1%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
47.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 11:38 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 14:59 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 1 | 14:02 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 1 | 10:07 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |