Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 47.9% vs Johansen 58.2% (-12.7%)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 56.8%
Defensive zone
Johansen 66.2%
Neutral zone
Johansen 51.9%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Schwartz
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (62)
59.8% (625)
-17.9%
Power Play
52.2% (90)
58.2% (196)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (5)
51.9% (27)
-51.9%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Schwartz is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Schwartz shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Johansen
Home
50.6% (79)
60.3% (436)
Away
42.3% (78)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Schwartz
Johansen
P1
36.2%
61.3%
P2
44.4%
60.4%
P3
60.9%
56.0%
OT
0.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
32.6%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
46.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%