Scouting Report
Jaden Schwartz holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 54.4% vs Johansen 52.8% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 58.3%
Defensive zone
Johansen 89.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 63.1%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 77.2%
22.8%
77.2%
Schwartz
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Schwartz
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwartz
1
0
Schwartz
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Schwartz
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (59)
51.9% (597)
-6.1%
Power Play
64.4% (101)
57.9% (133)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
54.3% (81)
-54.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +54.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Schwartz is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Schwartz shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Johansen
Home
61.0% (82)
55.8% (387)
Away
53.2% (79)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Schwartz
Johansen
P1
58.6%
50.0%
P2
46.8%
56.2%
P3
64.2%
52.6%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
64.1%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
57.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 10:41 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 19:59 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |