Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Schwartz wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 50.0% vs Monahan 52.4% (-2.6%)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 70.4%
Defensive zone
Monahan 69.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 61.7%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Schwartz
Monahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (39)
52.4% (853)
-6.2%
Power Play
55.2% (29)
58.6% (174)
-3.4%
On even strength, Monahan has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Schwartz is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (39).
Schwartz shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Monahan
Home
55.9% (34)
53.4% (624)
Away
44.1% (34)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Schwartz
Monahan
P1
52.9%
53.7%
P2
50.0%
52.4%
P3
47.6%
51.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%