Scouting Report
Jaden Schwartz holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Schwartz wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 52.9% vs Monahan 52.8% (+5.4%)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 65.2%
Defensive zone
Monahan 71.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 55.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Schwartz
Monahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (38)
53.2% (823)
+7.3%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
55.3% (159)
-2.0%
On even strength, Schwartz has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Schwartz is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (31).
Schwartz shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Monahan
Home
71.4% (21)
54.6% (529)
Away
50.0% (32)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Schwartz
Monahan
P1
60.9%
49.0%
P2
69.2%
55.4%
P3
47.1%
53.6%
Final 5 min
76.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
58.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%