Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 47.0% vs Evans 51.7% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 80.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 54.1%
Neutral zone
Lundell 64.2%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Lundell
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Lundell
Evans
Last 9: Lundell 3-6 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
2
Lundell
Evans
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Lundell
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Lundell
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (491)
54.5% (483)
-9.7%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
58.3% (12)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (48)
43.9% (155)
+8.2%
On even strength, Evans has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Lundell is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Lundell shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Lundell
Evans
Home
45.5% (319)
49.4% (336)
Away
47.7% (260)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Lundell
Evans
P1
50.8%
55.8%
P2
46.5%
51.7%
P3
41.7%
48.2%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.5%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 13:37 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 00:45 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 16:35 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 00:59 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 04:09 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Jake Evans |