Scouting Report
Barclay Goodrow holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 53.5% vs Evans 52.0% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 54.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 61.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 50.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Goodrow
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Goodrow
Evans
Last 5: Goodrow 1-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Goodrow
Evans
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
3
Goodrow
Evans
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (544)
54.4% (807)
+1.1%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
55.0% (20)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
46.1% (310)
-1.5%
On power play, Evans has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Goodrow is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Goodrow shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Evans
Home
57.2% (332)
53.7% (581)
Away
50.3% (292)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Goodrow
Evans
P1
50.8%
54.6%
P2
59.5%
50.0%
P3
51.8%
52.3%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
46.0%▲
39.0%
54.0%
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Jake Evans |