Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 50.1% vs Beagle 54.7% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Evans 65.3%
Defensive zone
Beagle 57.6%
Neutral zone
Evans 50.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Evans
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Evans
Beagle
Last 10: Evans 3-7 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
1
Evans
Beagle
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
5
Evans
Beagle
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
3
Evans
Beagle
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (320)
59.0% (212)
-6.8%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
50.0% (2)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (83)
50.0% (94)
-9.0%
On power play, Evans has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Evans is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Evans shoots right. Beagle is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Evans
Beagle
Home
54.3% (223)
57.9% (171)
Away
45.1% (182)
54.0% (137)
By Period
Evans
Beagle
P1
53.9%
53.3%
P2
44.9%
61.5%
P3
52.5%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
41.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 05:42 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 03:02 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 2 | 10:53 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 05:37 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 1 | 16:25 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Jake Evans |