Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Beagle 56.7% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Evans 57.6%
Defensive zone
Beagle 52.6%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Evans
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Evans
Beagle
Last 10: Evans 3-7 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
5
1
Evans
Beagle
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
7
Evans
Beagle
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
4
Evans
Beagle
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
57.5% (4,994)
-3.7%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
60.5% (119)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
54.2% (1,554)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Evans is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,292).
Evans shoots right. Beagle is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,004).
Home / Away
Evans
Beagle
Home
53.4% (2,593)
59.1% (3,228)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
54.5% (3,443)
By Period
Evans
Beagle
P1
54.0%
57.4%
P2
50.9%
57.1%
P3
52.0%
56.2%
OT
46.5%
41.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 05:42 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 03:02 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 2 | 10:53 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 05:37 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 1 | 16:25 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 09:26 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 03:37 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 15:36 | Neutral | Jake Evans |