Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Beagle 55.9% (-7.3%)
Offensive zone
Beagle 51.1%
Defensive zone
Beagle 58.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 53.7%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Evans
Beagle
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
57.2% (353)
-5.9%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
87.5% (16)
-34.2%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
51.6% (95)
-8.6%
On power play, Beagle has a +34.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Evans is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Evans shoots right. Beagle is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Evans
Beagle
Home
52.1% (503)
62.0% (200)
Away
47.0% (423)
53.4% (264)
By Period
Evans
Beagle
P1
50.5%
55.8%
P2
47.7%
60.1%
P3
51.3%
54.5%
OT
40.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
51.1%
63.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%