Jake Evans vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau

2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Evans wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Evans 49.8% vs Pageau 55.0% (-5.5%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Evans 72.5%
Defensive zone Evans 75.2%
Neutral zone Evans 70.3%
Result Jake Evans favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Evans Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
1 - 8 (9 meetings)
1
8
Evans Pageau
Last 9: Evans 1-8 Pageau

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
Evans Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Evans Pageau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
5
Evans Pageau
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Evans
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
55.8% (1,000)
-4.5%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
56.6% (182)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
51.2% (170)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +8.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Evans is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Evans shoots right. Pageau is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Evans
Pageau
Home
52.1% (503)
57.1% (674)
Away
47.0% (423)
53.5% (678)
By Period
Evans
Pageau
P1
50.5%
56.9%
P2
47.7%
54.5%
P3
51.3%
54.7%
OT
40.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
51.1%
55.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%
60.5%
49.8%
Pageau
54.0%
57.5%
55.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 15, 2022 2 04:04 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Apr 15, 2022 1 19:22 Offensive Jake Evans
Feb 20, 2022 3 00:00 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Feb 20, 2022 2 03:29 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Feb 20, 2022 1 18:36 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Feb 20, 2022 1 11:17 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Feb 20, 2022 1 00:00 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 4, 2021 2 15:23 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 4, 2021 1 14:41 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau