Jake Evans vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Pageau 55.0% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 54.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 60.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 56.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Evans
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Evans
Pageau
Last 8: Evans 3-5 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
Evans
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Evans
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
57.1% (905)
-2.7%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
55.2% (116)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
48.0% (204)
-1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Evans is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Evans shoots right. Pageau is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Home / Away
Evans
Pageau
Home
53.7% (581)
57.0% (618)
Away
50.5% (556)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Evans
Pageau
P1
54.6%
54.4%
P2
50.0%
61.0%
P3
52.3%
51.0%
OT
46.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 01:19 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 08:43 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 04:20 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:43 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |