Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 52.0%). Evans wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Beecher shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Beecher 51.7% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 62.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 56.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 52.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Evans
Beecher
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Evans
Beecher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Beecher
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Beecher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beecher
0
1
Evans
Beecher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Beecher
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
52.8% (458)
+1.6%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
87.5% (8)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
43.4% (76)
+4.7%
On power play, Beecher has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beecher shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Evans shoots right. Beecher is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Evans
Beecher
Home
55.1% (541)
53.5% (273)
Away
50.8% (581)
50.6% (269)
By Period
Evans
Beecher
P1
51.8%
51.1%
P2
53.3%
52.3%
P3
53.8%
52.6%
Final 5 min
51.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 11:04 | Neutral | John Beecher |