Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.0%). Look for Beecher on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Beecher 51.9% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 73.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 53.8%
Neutral zone
Beecher 52.1%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Evans
Beecher
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Evans
Beecher
Last 8: Evans 4-4 Beecher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Beecher
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Beecher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beecher
1
4
Evans
Beecher
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Beecher
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
53.2% (978)
+0.6%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
72.7% (11)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
45.9% (218)
+1.2%
On power play, Beecher has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beecher shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Beecher is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Evans
Beecher
Home
53.4% (2,593)
51.9% (551)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
52.1% (656)
By Period
Evans
Beecher
P1
54.0%
53.7%
P2
50.9%
48.1%
P3
52.0%
54.3%
OT
46.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 11:04 | Neutral | John Beecher |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 13:09 | Neutral | John Beecher |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 04:49 | Neutral | John Beecher |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Beecher |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:50 | Neutral | Jake Evans |