Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Drouin 45.6% (+7.5%)
Offensive zone
Drouin 79.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 73.1%
Neutral zone
Drouin 50.7%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Evans
Drouin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
45.1% (355)
+9.4%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
40.9% (22)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
0.0% (3)
+43.9%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Drouin is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Evans
Drouin
Home
49.4% (336)
37.5% (160)
Away
54.8% (314)
49.5% (220)
By Period
Evans
Drouin
P1
55.8%
40.3%
P2
51.7%
43.3%
P3
48.2%
49.6%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%