Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Drouin 44.5% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 88.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 82.4%
Neutral zone
Drouin 59.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Evans
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Evans
Drouin
Last 5: Evans 2-3 Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
0
2
Evans
Drouin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Drouin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
43.5% (1,824)
+10.3%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
48.3% (387)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
39.1% (23)
+8.0%
On power play, Evans has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Drouin is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (849).
Home / Away
Evans
Drouin
Home
53.4% (2,593)
44.0% (1,041)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
44.5% (1,193)
By Period
Evans
Drouin
P1
54.0%
45.9%
P2
50.9%
42.0%
P3
52.0%
45.0%
OT
46.5%
47.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 18:19 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 12:32 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 08:02 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 05:01 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |