Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Parssinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Parssinen 48.0% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Parssinen 67.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 86.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 59.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Evans
Parssinen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Evans
Parssinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Parssinen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Parssinen
0
1
Evans
Parssinen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Parssinen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Parssinen
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
46.5% (187)
+7.9%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
55.6% (9)
+11.1%
On power play, Evans has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Parssinen shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Evans shoots right. Parssinen is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Evans
Parssinen
Home
55.1% (541)
52.3% (88)
Away
50.8% (581)
42.6% (108)
By Period
Evans
Parssinen
P1
51.8%
43.3%
P2
53.3%
50.9%
P3
53.8%
47.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Parssinen
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Juuso Parssinen |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Jake Evans |