Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Parssinen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Parssinen 46.2% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Parssinen 67.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 84.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 61.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Evans
Parssinen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Evans
Parssinen
Last 10: Evans 6-4 Parssinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Parssinen
1
3
Evans
Parssinen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Parssinen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
3
1
Evans
Parssinen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Parssinen
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
46.1% (718)
+7.7%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
38.9% (54)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
100.0% (2)
-52.9%
On penalty kill, Parssinen has a +52.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Parssinen shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Parssinen is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Evans
Parssinen
Home
53.4% (2,593)
48.9% (395)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
42.5% (379)
By Period
Evans
Parssinen
P1
54.0%
41.7%
P2
50.9%
49.2%
P3
52.0%
45.6%
OT
46.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Parssinen
48.0%▲
44.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Juuso Parssinen |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:25 | Offensive | Juuso Parssinen |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Juuso Parssinen |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 10:03 | Neutral | Juuso Parssinen |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 14:26 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Juuso Parssinen |