Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Couture 48.8% (+1.1%)
Offensive zone
Couture 60.5%
Defensive zone
Couture 53.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 52.5%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Evans
Couture
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
48.7% (986)
+2.6%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
58.5% (94)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
44.1% (195)
-1.1%
On power play, Couture has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Couture is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Evans
Couture
Home
52.1% (503)
47.2% (625)
Away
47.0% (423)
50.2% (650)
By Period
Evans
Couture
P1
50.5%
46.8%
P2
47.7%
49.8%
P3
51.3%
49.8%
OT
40.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
51.1%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
49.8%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.7%