Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Couture 49.0% (+4.3%)
Offensive zone
Couture 74.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 73.8%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Evans
Couture
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
44.9% (78)
+9.5%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
57.1% (7)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
63.6% (11)
-17.5%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Couture is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Home / Away
Evans
Couture
Home
53.7% (581)
45.2% (62)
Away
50.5% (556)
52.9% (34)
By Period
Evans
Couture
P1
54.6%
55.2%
P2
50.0%
44.4%
P3
52.3%
50.0%
OT
46.7%
16.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.9%