Jake Evans vs Macklin Celebrini
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Celebrini 48.6% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 14-5 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 59.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 95.2%
Neutral zone
Evans 79.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Evans
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
5
(19 meetings)
14
5
Evans
Celebrini
Last 10: Evans 9-1 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
4
Evans
Celebrini
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
8
0
Evans
Celebrini
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
6
1
Evans
Celebrini
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
47.7% (1,825)
+6.1%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
53.8% (247)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
55.6% (36)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Celebrini is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (664).
Home / Away
Evans
Celebrini
Home
53.4% (2,593)
47.7% (1,076)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
49.4% (1,032)
By Period
Evans
Celebrini
P1
54.0%
47.2%
P2
50.9%
46.9%
P3
52.0%
51.5%
OT
46.5%
47.4%
Final 5 min
50.4%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 03:20 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 05:02 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 09:27 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 15:56 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:17 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Jake Evans |