Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Bonino 48.5% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 52.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 69.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 59.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Evans
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Evans
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Evans
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
48.1% (324)
+6.4%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
57.9% (38)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
44.3% (88)
-0.4%
On even strength, Evans has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Bonino is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Evans
Bonino
Home
49.4% (336)
52.0% (244)
Away
54.8% (314)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Evans
Bonino
P1
55.8%
48.0%
P2
51.7%
42.9%
P3
48.2%
53.9%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:46 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:22 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 09:24 | Defensive | Jake Evans |