Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Bonino 50.8% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 54.8%
Defensive zone
Bonino 50.1%
Neutral zone
Bonino 60.3%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Evans
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Evans
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Evans
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
51.8% (305)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
48.5% (101)
-2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Bonino is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Evans
Bonino
Home
53.7% (581)
53.1% (177)
Away
50.5% (556)
49.3% (229)
By Period
Evans
Bonino
P1
54.6%
55.9%
P2
50.0%
49.6%
P3
52.3%
47.6%
OT
46.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |