Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.4% vs Hischier 54.9% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 78.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 78.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Evans
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Evans
Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Evans
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (477)
55.0% (1,107)
+1.2%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
63.1% (252)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (204)
43.6% (149)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Evans shoots right. Hischier is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Evans
Hischier
Home
55.3% (374)
56.5% (763)
Away
57.1% (317)
54.0% (745)
By Period
Evans
Hischier
P1
58.5%
56.0%
P2
55.7%
57.6%
P3
53.9%
53.0%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 09:44 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:11 | Defensive | Jake Evans |