Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Evans wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Hischier 55.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 64.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 82.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 58.4%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Evans
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Evans
Hischier
Last 10: Evans 2-8 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
5
Evans
Hischier
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Hischier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
4
Evans
Hischier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
55.8% (1,228)
-1.4%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
62.1% (282)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
47.6% (267)
+0.5%
On power play, Evans has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Evans shoots right. Hischier is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (590).
Home / Away
Evans
Hischier
Home
55.1% (541)
56.5% (867)
Away
50.8% (581)
54.6% (910)
By Period
Evans
Hischier
P1
51.8%
57.9%
P2
53.3%
55.9%
P3
53.8%
52.7%
OT
38.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 13:46 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 17:48 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |